Mon Mar 18, 2024 10:54 am
Jaybird wrote:The selection committee badly needs a liaison or advisor, somebody whose job is to follow the ticketing and local rooting interests at each site, and then keep the committee read in.
If they have somebody like that, they ignore him or her, because the dilemma they keep creating for Creighton staff and fans is ridiculous and unnecessary. It’s even worse because CHI routinely sells out for NCAA events, and many sites do not. I don’t think Pittsburgh has (could be wrong).
Those fans have a conflict too, because Duquesne tips less than an hour before the Pittsburgh games (in other words, us) start.
Just Amateur Hour stuff. More planning goes into grade school plays.
Mon Mar 18, 2024 12:01 pm
Mon Mar 18, 2024 12:20 pm
Mon Mar 18, 2024 1:13 pm
Mon Mar 18, 2024 1:28 pm
Mon Mar 18, 2024 1:50 pm
go_jays wrote:
Addendum: I thought I would dig into this TO/Rebound thing some more. So I looked at our game against Providence in the BET.
If you add up their Steals (7), Blocks (3) and our Turnovers (11), it comes to 21. If you add our Steals (3), Blocks (5) and their TOs (5) it comes to 13. So they got 8 more possessions than we did as a result. they also got 9 OBs to our 7. So add that up and they had 10 more possessions as a result than we did.
Mon Mar 18, 2024 2:15 pm
Jaybird wrote:And, there's this. Historically, there's just under a 15% chance that a 14 will upset a 3. One in every seven games. It last happened in 2021, when Abilene Christian took down Texas.
But that means there have been two full years, eight straight 3-14 games, where the 3 sent the 14 home. In other words, a 14-3 upset is overdue. Which is why I'm going to risk all the mockery and go out on a limb by predicting exactly that. So, here goes:
Colgate beats Baylor.
Mon Mar 18, 2024 2:19 pm
Mon Mar 18, 2024 2:25 pm
bird_call wrote:go_jays wrote:
Addendum: I thought I would dig into this TO/Rebound thing some more. So I looked at our game against Providence in the BET.
If you add up their Steals (7), Blocks (3) and our Turnovers (11), it comes to 21. If you add our Steals (3), Blocks (5) and their TOs (5) it comes to 13. So they got 8 more possessions than we did as a result. they also got 9 OBs to our 7. So add that up and they had 10 more possessions as a result than we did.
You are double counting. Steals cause TOs.
We had 58 FGA and 26 FTA or ~71 possessions that ended in a shot or FTA. They had 70 FGA and 14 FTA or ~77 possessions that ended in a shot or FTA.
We lost because our eFG% was an abysmal 43% and we lost the possession battle (TOs, boards).
Mon Mar 18, 2024 3:55 pm