Tue Feb 20, 2024 11:19 am
SeattleJay wrote:#RollJays wrote:SeattleJay wrote:Here is how I see the matchups:
1. Ashworth v Spencer: edge U Conn
Spencer is U Conn’s leading scorer and hitting 45% from 3. If SA gets hot, he can dominate a game and he is clutch
2. Alexander v Newton: Edge U Conn
Newton is the best player on the #1 team in the country and a lot of people think he is BE POY. Trey is very close in stats and is probably the best matchup in the BE for Newton (or Carter from Pc). Trey didn’t play well in the first game against Newton. Let’s hope he has a chip on his shoulder.
3. Baylor v Castle: Edge CU
Castle is full of potential. Possible first round NBA pick. Baylor is a finalist for the Wooden award and hot.
4. Miller v Karaban:: Edge U Conn
Caravan hits 40% from 3 and scores in double digits.
5. Kalk v Clingan/Johnson : Edge CU
Clingan averages a bit over 20 minutes a game. These are the 2 best centers in the BE. Kalk has experience, endurance, and strength advantage. Kalk doesn’t get in foul trouble.
6. Bench: Edge U Conn
I am looking to Trey and SA to have good games and outplay or neutralize their opponents on their home court. Baylor is on a roll. If Kalk gets touches (only had 5 shot attempts in the first game) we have a great chance.
Defend and rebound.
Fun fact… Tristan Newton is shooting .365 from the field in conf play.
Yes. He is a worse shooter than Trey.
Under 28% from 3 in conference.
I thought about making that one a tie but in the only head to head matchup, Newton shot and played better at home. Hopefully, some home cooking can get Trey to turn the tables.
Tue Feb 20, 2024 11:28 am
Tue Feb 20, 2024 11:31 am
HandDownManDown wrote:If we do win I hope like hell we don’t storm the court.
I’m sure the students are just chomping at the bit but I don’t think there is a big enough gap between us and anyone else to merit that.
Tue Feb 20, 2024 11:51 am
Tue Feb 20, 2024 11:57 am
Tue Feb 20, 2024 12:15 pm
RyanHolmgren wrote:Jays open as a 3-point dog.
Tue Feb 20, 2024 12:19 pm
T-bone wrote:HandDownManDown wrote:If we do win I hope like hell we don’t storm the court.
I’m sure the students are just chomping at the bit but I don’t think there is a big enough gap between us and anyone else to merit that.
I don't think anything is going to keep them off the court if we win.
Tue Feb 20, 2024 12:34 pm
go_jays wrote:RyanHolmgren wrote:Jays open as a 3-point dog.
In another thread, I talked about how the line always seems to line up with a formula I've been using based on Kenpom Adjusted Efficiency Margin. I computed it on Sunday and came up with somewhere between us being a 2 to 3 point dog this week. Been doing this for a month now and it's always been with a point or so of being the same as the Vegas line.
Tue Feb 20, 2024 1:02 pm
Tue Feb 20, 2024 1:04 pm