Minnesota Jay wrote:Chicagojayfan wrote:
Rebounds: 4th best rebounding games of the year - total rebound percentage of 60.8%. We are 14-1 when we are over 50% / 2-5 when under 50%. Especially given how we don't get turnovers on the defensive end, this is a key for us to get enough possessions to keep shooting and to win
Won't argue the importance of rebounding, but looking at total rebounds like this instead of respective offensive and defensive rebounding rates is mostly a backwards-looking statistic. The majority of missed shots are rebounded by the defense - ie. you're more likely to cede more total rebounds because you're losing (missing shots) than you are to lose because you cede more total rebounds. We're 14-1 when we have more total rebounds because we don't shoot 20% from 3 in those games.
To that end - We are 10-2 when we have the superior rebounding rate, vs. 6-4 when we do not.
It's a good point that it's highly dependent on misses and that looking at both is a better analysis overall, but in a slugfest like this both teams are tossing up a ton of misses and it's an important factor. To add to how good of a job we did on the boards yesterday that 60.8% rebound percentage includes the fact that Nova got ZERO Offensive rebounds yesterday. They missed 25 shots yesterday so it wasn't like there weren't a lot of offensive rebounding opportunities, so not only did we play great D, we cleaned up the boards when they missed.. and beyond that, we hit the boards on offense as well and dominated the rebounding